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Consider the following
case history. The patient is a 65 year old man. His pain has been
going on for six weeks. It is substernal. It does not radiate
anywhere. He characterizes it as "an ache." The pain
seems to come on at random. It is unrelated to exertion or emotional
stress. He can continue what he is doing despite the pain. He
tried a friend's nitroglycerin. The pain didn't resolve any faster
with the nitroglycerin. He has never smoked cigarettes and has
never had a diagnosis of myocardial infarction or any heart disease.
Question 1.3.1
Think about this patient's
story of chest pain. Try to pick a number that represents your
probability that the pain is due to myocardial ischemia.
My estimate of the
range of probabilities is:
 | 0
to 0.20 |
 | 0.21
to 0.40 |
 | 0.41
to 0.60 |
 | 0.61
to 0.80 |
 | 0.81
to 1.00 |
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